THE ROLE OF SCIENTIFICALLY SUBSTANTIATED PREDICTION IN THE RECOGNITION OF A TOURIST DESTINATION
(on the example of the Republic of Armenia)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.46991/PYSU:C/2022.56.3.194Keywords:
regression model, scientific based prediction, media, marketing steps, statistical forecasting, tourist destinationAbstract
Prediction of the tourist demand can be carried out through the usage of regression model. There have been surveys conducted among tourists (non-ethnic Armenians) who have visited Armenia over the past 3 years. It was necessary to find out whether the gender and age composition of potential tourists influences the choice of a particular media channel, as well as to identify those media channels that, having a certain potential, can influence the picture of the tourism market of Armenia. Based on the compiled model, it is possible to come to conclusions: the indicators of the regression model make it possible to navigate quite clearly by age groups.
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