Հարավային Կովկասի, ԵվրԱզԷՍ-ի և ԵՄ-ի քաղաքական կայունության ինդեքսի համեմատական վերլուծություն
Keywords:
political stability index, index of political factors, index of social factors, index of economic factors, political stability assessment model, political stability assessment model’s variables, in-country analysis, cross-country analysis, political risk, civil disobediences, correlation analysisAbstract
Nowadays modeling has significant meaning in policy analysis and is one of the most effective methods to analyze political situations and to solve complicated problems. In the article, the author presents the model for assessing political system stability, based on the method of index construction as just this approach gives an opportunity to analyze the stability of the given country in its different periods (in-country analysis) as well as to compare different countries by stability level(cross-country analysis), using integrated numerical factor of stability (index).
The interdisciplinary research implemented by the author and presented in the article is devoted to the development and comparative analysis of the political stability index of the South Caucasus, the EurAsEC and the EU. The author also makes a comparative analysis of mentioned 35 countries (countries of the South Caucasus, the EurAsEC and the EU member states) by political, social and economic aspects as aggregated factors as well as by separate variables included in the model.
